Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 1.021666 1.242027 1.477015 1.744199 2.037609 2.348215 2.700126
2024-10-27 0.783948 1.093072 1.446730 1.872685 2.363949 2.905831 3.542090
2024-11-03 0.667955 1.026165 1.455900 1.992491 2.629477 3.348447 4.208960
2024-11-10 0.577455 0.972796 1.468151 2.106298 2.882193 3.774260 4.858029
2024-11-17 0.510210 0.934666 1.487205 2.217849 3.123529 4.180006 5.478349
2024-11-24 0.430853 0.867099 1.458973 2.263041 3.279178 4.481391 5.975207
2024-12-01 0.352806 0.788435 1.406271 2.269034 3.380335 4.713186 6.386705
2024-12-08 0.267553 0.683659 1.306651 2.204733 3.386386 4.824802 6.651132
2024-12-15 0.198879 0.591499 1.214471 2.141781 3.387335 4.924983 6.897666
2024-12-22 0.150165 0.522834 1.148687 2.108151 3.420707 5.060919 7.183886
2024-12-29 0.123206 0.489567 1.133151 2.141900 3.540446 5.303426 7.599622
2025-01-05 0.097028 0.450975 1.104955 2.154558 3.630141 5.506935 7.966932
2025-01-12 0.066725 0.395039 1.047068 2.127401 3.674003 5.663767 8.292849
2025-01-19 0.062851 0.406094 1.104643 2.274023 3.957724 6.131600 9.011073
2025-01-26 0.057978 0.412628 1.153472 2.407016 4.222578 6.575264 9.699450
2025-02-02 0.052916 0.417103 1.198315 2.534283 4.480443 7.011329 10.380375
2025-02-09 0.048068 0.420654 1.240997 2.658255 4.734192 7.442888 11.056914
2025-02-16 0.037378 0.399923 1.236744 2.708507 4.884769 7.740656 11.565968
2025-02-23 0.025594 0.367070 1.206049 2.715143 4.972778 7.956156 11.971129
2025-03-02 0.012813 0.313930 1.129039 2.643715 4.947187 8.020645 12.183693
2025-03-09 0.004951 0.266446 1.056056 2.573692 4.919884 8.080168 12.387823
2025-03-16 0.001438 0.232201 1.005434 2.536250 4.936074 8.194310 12.658630
2025-03-23 0.000450 0.218677 0.999789 2.573824 5.061583 8.454672 13.117620